Why Saudi Money Has Not Turned The Magpies into Championship Contenders

Eddie Howe is not given to dramatics or sweeping media statements. Based on his usual demeanor, his press conference following Sunday’s loss to West Ham qualifies as a angry tirade. His side scored first but the opposition took the lead by half-time, as well as striking the woodwork and seeing a spot-kick overturned by VAR, prompting Howe to make a three substitutions at the half-time.

“That was the frustrating thing about the first half,” the coach stated. “Virtually any player could have been substituted and I believe that was a reflection of our performance level in that moment in the game and it’s very, very rare for me to feel that way. Actually, I cannot recall I have during my tenure as manager of the club, so I felt the squad needed some shaking up at the break. This explains why I did what I did.”

Anthony Gordon, Nick Woltemade and Emil Krafth were substituted at half-time and the team managed to steady somewhat in the latter period, without ever really looking like they could fight back into the game against an opponent that had won only one of their previous nine league matches. Given the congestion the middle of the standings is, with a mere three-point gap separating the top spots from mid-table, and nine points between the upper and lower ranks, a sequence of 12 points from 10 games has not placed the Magpies stranded but, similarly, they must not finish the season in thirteenth place.

The Issue of Perception

The problem partially is one of public view. With the Saudi PIF, Newcastle have the wealthiest backers in the globe. The expectation at the time the Saudi fund bought a majority stake of the club in 2021 was that it would bring a transformative effect, as Roman Abramovich had at Chelsea or Sheikh Mansour did at the Etihad. The distinction is that those two owners assumed control prior to the introduction of financial fair play rules (while the current charges against Manchester City relate to if they violated those regulations after they were in place).

Financial restrictions restrict the capacity of proprietors, however rich, to spend money on their squads and therefore probably would have slowed every Saudi attempt to elevate the team to the level of City. However there is no need for the club's spending to have been so restrained as it has; they might have invested further and remained within the threshold – or simply taken a fairly minor European fine since their big problem is primarily with the continental than the Premier League rules.

Stadium Spending and PSR Rules

Besides which, stadium development is excluded from PSR assessments; the easiest way to raise income to create more financial headroom would be to expand or redevelop the stadium. Given the site of the home ground, with listed buildings on multiple sides, practically that likely implies building an entirely new venue. There was talk in spring of potentially undertaking the short move to a local park – opposition from community organizations could surely have been overcome with a promise to build a new park on the existing ground location – but there has not been any progress on that proposal. There has occurred significant retrenchment from the Saudi fund on a variety of initiatives as it shifts focus on domestic affairs; the attitude to Newcastle appears completely in alignment with that strategic shift.

Player Sales Saga

The star striker saga was born of that tension. A more confident leadership might have framed his transfer as necessary to release capital for additional investment; instead there was a unsuccessful attempt to keep him. This resulted in the team started the campaign amid a feeling of disappointment even with the acquisitions of Woltemade, Yoane Wissa, Jacob Ramsey, Malick Thiaw and Anthony Elanga. The start was mixed: one win in their first six fixtures.

Yet it seemed a corner was reached. They secured five victories in six matches before the weekend, a streak that featured convincing wins of Union Saint-Gilloise and a Portuguese club in the Champions League. That’s why the display against the Hammers was so surprising. The problem perhaps is that Newcastle’s style is extremely intense, high-energy; a minor decrease in intensity can have profound consequences. Maybe the pressure of Premier League, European and Carabao Cup competition, five fixtures in a fortnight, had got to them. Woltemade started all five matches and appeared particularly fatigued.

Reality of Contemporary Soccer

This is the nature of modern the sport. Managers must be prepared to make changes. Howe has been unlucky that the forward's injury has meant he is lacking forward choices but, no matter how valid the reasons, the weekend's performance was inexcusable –particularly following taking the lead at a ground ready to turn on its own side.

Howe will wish it was merely a temporary setback, one of those days when everybody is below par at once, but if the Magpies are to secure the European competition in the future, let alone one day launch an actual championship bid, they cannot be as unreliable as this.

Brian Munoz
Brian Munoz

A seasoned real estate analyst with over a decade of experience in property markets and home investment strategies.